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bearbells
Harvey Hacksmasher

Registered: Oct 2011
Location:
Posts: 23

Stats

To Gerry, the ultimate stats man: How many times has the team, who has last rock in the first end, scores 2 or blanks, or gets 1. Howard said that winning the draw to the button is worth 2 points. What are the stats?

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Old Post 03-23-12 01:26PM
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fresca
Super Rockchucker

Registered: Oct 2008
Location:
Posts: 1212

if the draw is worth 2 points then they should go back to a coin flip ... if you control the first 1-4 ends id say its worth more than 2 points

i am unbiased btw - havent curled for 40 years and dont care who wins much as long as they all curl well

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Old Post 03-23-12 01:38PM
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Gerry
CZ Founder

Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3381

When looking at the numbers, you'll see the Howard has blanked 13.3% of his first ends for a 40-4 record. Howard scores 2 in the first end almost 33% of the time and has a 100-8 win-loss record when he does that.

Since 2006/07 Season:
Glenn Howard, with HAMMER in 1st End:
Games: 330
Blanked: 44 (13.3%) [W:40-L:4]
Four-Score: 12 (3.6%) [W:12-L:0]
Three-Score: 30 (9.1%) [W:30-L:0]
Two-Score: 108 (32.7%) [W:100-L:8]
Single Score: 99 (30%) [W:76-L:23]
Four-Steal: 2 (0.9%) [W1-L1]
Three-Steal: 0 (0%) [W0-L0]
Two-Steal: 1 (0.3%) [W1-L0]
Single Steal: 34 (10.3%) [W22-L12]

Total Ends on STEAL in 1st End: 223
Blanked: 33 (14.8%) [W21-L12]
Four-Score: 2 (0.9%) [W1-L1]
Three-Score: 4 (1.8%) [W4-L0]
Two-Score: 32 (14.3%) [W11-L21]
Single Score: 90 (40.4%) [W75-L15]
Four-Steal: 2 (0.6%) [W:2-L:0]
Three-Steal: 9 (2.7%) [W:9-L:0]
Two-Steal: 17 (7.6%) [W:14-L:3]
Single Steal: 34 (15.2%) [W:29-L:5]

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Old Post 03-23-12 04:07PM
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peteski
Swing Artist

Registered: Feb 2007
Location:
Posts: 335

Hey Gerry, do you have links to stats like these? Or just general stats like how often do men's teams win when they score 2 in the first end. I would look at these pages.

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Old Post 03-25-12 10:49PM
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Gerry
CZ Founder

Registered: Sep 2002
Location: London, Ontario
Posts: 3381

quote:
Originally posted by peteski
Hey Gerry, do you have links to stats like these? Or just general stats like how often do men's teams win when they score 2 in the first end. I would look at these pages.


This stuff isn't public, I have it behind the scenes and use it when I do analysis and scouting work for teams.

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Old Post 03-25-12 11:55PM
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